远
远航 Aladdin Erin 个人版投资决策系统
Platform Prototype v1.0 · 2026-05-26 · 真实 broker snapshot 锚定
持仓 5/18 EOD
挂单 5/19 17:00
行情 broker snapshot
引擎 2026-05-26 13:00 batch
本期 Phase 2 (要做)
Phase 3 defer (本期不做, 视觉占位)
数据源: private/moomoo/broker-snapshot-2026-05-18.json · 规则: rules.json SHA 77f71845… 30 rules
用户动线总图 · 5 条 jobs-to-be-done
Platform 设计 4 句话: (1) Today = 30 秒判断今天要不要 act · (2) Workbench = stock-centric 三引擎核心, 任何 ticker 进 → 一屏出 verdict + ladder + action · (3) Decisions = 把 verdict 沉淀成 Decision Card → Action Item · (4) Review = 事后 hit-rate eval (Phase 3 attribution lab).
动线 1
持仓跟踪 (held)
Today → Portfolio → 点 ticker → Workbench
本期动线 2
未持仓个股分析 (ad-hoc)
右上 Run三引擎 → Workbench → 输入 ticker
本期动线 3
加仓/建仓 (ADD/INITIATE)
Workbench → Position Action → Save DC
本期动线 4
减仓/退出 (TRIM/CANCEL)
Today red-line → Workbench → 修订 ladder → Save DC
本期动线 5
事后归因 (review)
Review → Attribution Lab
Phase 3
本期 (Phase 2) 平台范围
| 模块 (system-inventory) | 本期 P2 范围 | Phase 3 defer | Erin 用得到吗? |
|---|
| ① Position & Data Spine | moomoo PDF + CSV upload · 37 positions 落库 · 18 orders · 4 currency books | corp-action / avg-cost auto fill | 核心 · 每天用 |
| ② Risk Analytics | cluster risk / sector / 集中度 / 币种 exposure | VaR/CVaR · Factor attribution · Stress scenarios | 每天看 Today 红线 |
| ③ Research & Thesis | thesis schema · catalyst/trigger/退出 | auto-research summary · news pull | 看 ticker 时核 thesis |
| ④ Decision Workflow | 三引擎 Workbench (Erin SoT) + Decision Card + Action Item · 10 actions vocab | broker-verified 自动 sync · auto-execution | 核心 · 每次决策 |
| ⑤ Monitoring & Alerting | basic threshold trigger (red-line / over-cap / cash idle) | news API push · earnings calendar · custom alerts | 每天 Today 显示 |
| ⑥ Performance Attribution | — | v2.4.1 attribution lab · 7 drivers waterfall · DC §12 outcome · error diagnosis | Phase 3 |
| ⑦ Reporting Dashboard | Today / Portfolio 4-engine分布 / Decisions Inbox | 月度复盘 PDF · 邮件 digest | Today 默认页 |
| ⑧ Self-Rules Engine | rules.json 30 rules · EXT-R-1/2/3 · staging mirror mutation | rule自然语言入门 · auto rule learn-from-history | Workbench 默认引用 |
Today · 30 秒判断今天是否需要 act · 这里负责把风险和待办带到 Decisions, 不直接下单 本期 P2
NAV (SGD)
SGD 334,630
5/18 broker snapshot · 37 positions
Pending Decisions
3
需要今天点 Workbench 确认
Done Today
0
今日已 commit 的 Action
Red-line Alerts
2
引擎自动触发 · 必看
① 今天要决定的事
P0 必看本期
ATAT 600 shares E0 Radar TRIM_REVIEW
当前权重 8.5% · max 5% · 超 70%
触发 E2-A-2.2 杠杆超 3x + 当前价 USD 47.28 进入 TRIM zone (你 ladder 设的 max=5%) · Run Engine 确认要不要 cut 200 shares 回到 5%
JPY ¥4.85M 闲置现金 E2 现金 ADD_1ST
11.7% NAV · 7974 NTDOY / 6758 SONY 加仓候选
E2-B-2.5 FCF Yield 检查 7974 currently 8.4% (≥8% 满足) · 触发 cash deploy 建议 · Run Engine 看具体 sizing
XPEV 530 shares E3 机会 REVIEW
挂单 sell $18 × 250 · 当前价 $19.20 进入 Hold zone
原 sell trigger $18 已 stale (当前价 $19.20 above target) · 是否调整 ladder 或 cancel order · 需 Workbench 重判
② Red-line Alerts
E0 Radar本期
QQQ 50 shares · over 12% hard-cap watch · 触发 EXT-R-2 (单 ticker over 12% NAV). 当前权重 13.5%.
建议 TRIM 5% 回到 cap.
→ 进 Workbench 判定
③ 需要复盘的近期 Action
本期
| Action | 当时 verdict | 30d outcome | 下一步 |
|---|
| ATAT add 200 shares @ $34.20 | E1 Pass · 复利 | +10.4% (现 $36.98) | Phase 3 attribution |
| NVDA trim 20 shares @ $108.97 | E2-C 估值 TRIM_REVIEW | -6.2% (现 $102.20) | Phase 3 attribution |
| MSFT add 5 shares @ $529 | E2 现金 Pass | +2.4% (现 $541.50) | Phase 3 attribution |
本期 Phase 2 只 surface outcome 数字 + verdict 记录 · 不做 7 drivers waterfall 归因 (Phase 3)
④ 新机会 (引擎扫描)
本期
这些是 watchlist + market scan 触发的候选 · 你未持仓 · Workbench 点开做 ad-hoc 三引擎评估
NVDA 已持 30 股 + 候选加仓 E1 复利
$102.20
前一周回撤 -8% · E1-C-1.7 PEG 当前 0.85 ≤1 触发 ADD 候选 · ladder 建议 $98 ADD_1ST
GOOGL · 未持仓 ad-hoc query E2 现金
$215.00
你右上 Run三引擎 输入 GOOGL 即可: 任何 ticker, 无需持仓, 走 stock-centric workbench 路径
⑤ 即将发生的 Catalyst
本期 basic
5/28 (周三): Nintendo (7974) Q4 财报 · 5/31 (周六): Fed FOMC · 6/5: ATAT Q1 财报
Phase 2 only: 手工维护 · Phase 3 自动从 earnings calendar / news API pull
Portfolio · 三引擎仓位分布 + 偏离 · 4 currency books · 37 真实持仓 本期 P2
4 引擎仓位分布 · NAV 占比
E0 Radar 防雷
触发 2
QQQ + ATAT
E1 复利
36.5%
7974, MNSO, DUOL, PEP, NFLX...
E2 现金
18.8%
6758, MSFT, 00700, AAAU...
E3 机会
19.5%
XPEV, 02097 MIXUE, 02016...
+ Cash 25.2% (SGD 14,636 · USD $1.89 · HKD HK$9,196 · JPY ¥4.85M · CNH 0) · 4 currency books per moomoo broker
持仓表 · 37 positions · 点击进 Workbench
| Ticker | Name | Mkt | Qty | Price | ≈SGD | %NAV | 引擎 | 当前 Action | |
|---|
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ | US | 50 | $705.88 | 45,123 | 13.5% | E0 | TRIM_REVIEW | → |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle | US | 600 | $36.98 | 28,367 | 8.5% | E0 | TRIM_REVIEW | → |
| 7974 | Nintendo | JP | 300 | ¥7,182 | 17,342 | 5.2% | E1 | HOLD | → |
| MNSO | MINISO | US | 800 | $14.22 | 14,544 | 4.3% | E1 | HOLD | → |
| DUOL | Duolingo | US | 100 | $113.24 | 14,478 | 4.3% | E1 | HOLD | → |
| PEP | PepsiCo | US | 70 | $149.06 | 13,340 | 4.0% | E2 | HOLD | → |
| 6758 | Sony Group | JP | 400 | ¥3,596 | 11,578 | 3.5% | E2 | ADD候选 | → |
| NFLX | Netflix | US | 100 | $89.65 | 11,462 | 3.4% | E1 | HOLD | → |
| AAAU | Phys Gold ETF | US | 200 | $44.94 | 11,491 | 3.4% | E2 | HOLD | → |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | US | 30 | $102.20 | 8,527 | 2.5% | E1 | ADD候选 | → |
| + 27 其他持仓 · 02016/01211/00700/00941/01810 港股 / XPEV/MSFT/MSTR · 完整 37 行 Phase 2 ship 时显示 |
币种 Cash 子账户 · per moomoo
| 币种 | 持仓 (SGD) | Cash 子账户 | % NAV | 状态 |
|---|
| USD | 191,228 | $1.89 · margin -$43.6K | 57.5% | margin gap |
| JPY | 81,307 | ¥4,849,988 (≈SGD 39K) | 24.5% | cash idle 11.7% |
| HKD | 47,442 | HK$9,196 net · -HK$105.8K margin | 14.2% | margin gap |
| SGD | 14,636 | SGD 14,636 | 4.4% | 健康 |
Decisions · Decision Card 沉淀 · Action Inbox · 5-status 流转 本期 P2
Action Inbox · linked to analysis_run + Decision Card
| Action ID | Ticker | Type | Source | Status | Linked Engine Evidence | |
|---|
| ACT-101 | ATAT | TRIM 200 | E0 over-cap auto | pending | E0-R-0.1 (concentration) + E2-A-2.2 (leverage) | → |
| ACT-102 | 7974 | ADD ¥4.8M JPY cash | E2-B-2.5 trigger | pending | E2-B-2.5 FCF Yield + E1-A-1.2 channel | → |
| ACT-103 | XPEV | REVIEW order | 挂单 $18 sell stale | pending | E3-C-3.7 (price discipline) | → |
| ACT-099 | NVDA | CANCEL $200 buy | 5/19 PM rec | in_review | E2-C-2.8 valuation veto | → |
已保存 Decision Cards · 11-section schema
DC-101 · JPY cash deploy 7974 → ¥4.85M → 600 shares · linked_analysis_run_id: AR-20260526-130012-7974 · created 5/26 11:20
DC-099 · COSCO 01919 cancel sell order HK$70 · linked AR-20260524-XXX
每个 DC 引用一个 analysis_run · append-only · 不允许 mutate 旧 run · 11 sections include rationale/trigger/exit/sizing/risk/timing/cash impact/conflict/source/audit/decision-maker. Phase 3 加 §12 outcome attribution
Ideas · Active orders + 候选 idea · 必带 Engine pre-check · 直接 deep-link 进 Workbench 本期 P2
18 active orders · per moomoo broker
| Ticker | Side | Price × Qty | Mkt | Engine Pre-check | 建议 |
|---|
| NVDA | BUY | $200 × 50 | US | E1 复利 Watch · price 已下到 $102.20, 你 $200 远 high | CANCEL / ADJUST → $98 |
| AAPL | BUY | $250 × 40 | US | E2 现金 Watch · 现 $215 接近 | ADJUST → $220 |
| 02097 MIXUE | BUY | HK$200 × 100 | HK | E3 机会 Pass | ADJUST → HK$240 加速 |
| XPEV | SELL | $18 × 250 | US | E3 机会 Watch · 现 $19.20 above | REVIEW |
| + 14 其他 orders |
Watchlist · 新 idea 候选 (未持仓 ad-hoc)
| Ticker | Mkt | Reason | Engine 触发 | |
|---|
| AAPL | US | FCF Yield 8.4% 接近 E2-B-2.5 阈值 | E2 | → |
| GOOGL | US | E1-C-1.7 PEG 0.96 触发 | E1 | → |
未持仓票点行 → Workbench 输入 ticker → 三引擎评估 → Save DC (sizing 自动 INITIATE_1ST_TRANCHE 因为 shares=0)
Thesis · 37 持仓 Engine Matrix · catalyst/trigger/退出 schema · 维护 thesis vs current state 本期 P2 basic
37-position Engine Matrix
| Ticker | Primary Engine | Last Verdict | Current Zone | 下一 Trigger | Catalyst Date |
|---|
| QQQ | E0 Radar | TRIM | over-cap 13.5% | cap > 12% | — |
| 7974 | E1 | HOLD | HOLD ¥6,800-7,400 | price ≤ ¥6,800 → ADD | 5/28 Q4 财报 |
| ATAT | E1 | TRIM | over-weight 8.5% > 5% | trim 200 shares 回 5% | 6/5 Q1 财报 |
| + 34 其他 |
每 thesis row 含 catalyst + trigger + exit · 维护投资逻辑不 drift. Phase 3 加 thesis health score + auto-news pull.
Review · Engine Rule Accuracy + Outcome · 本期 basic hit-rate · Phase 3 完整 Attribution Lab 本期 basic Phase 3 lab
本期 Phase 2 · Rule Accuracy 基础统计
| Rule | 触发次数 (90d) | True Positive | False Positive | 下一步 |
|---|
| E1-A-1.2 渠道票据 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 保持 |
| E2-A-2.2 杠杆 >3x | 2 | 2 | 0 | 保持 |
| E2-C-2.8 估值安全边际 | 6 | 4 | 2 | review threshold |
| E0-R-0.1 极端信披 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 保持 |
Phase 3 Defer · Attribution Lab v2.4.1 (视觉占位)
Phase 3 defer Performance Attribution Lab
将含 5 surfaces · 7 attribution drivers (Market Beta / Allocation / Selection / Interaction / Decision Alpha / FX / Cash Drag) · Decision Card §12 Outcome · Error Diagnosis taxonomy (cash_policy / fx_effect / timing_error / sizing_error / rule_error / benchmark_error / executor_error)
参考 v2.4.1 业绩归因 prototype · 本期不实施 · Phase 3 ship